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US Political Turmoil Pushes Global Gold Prices to New Records

Early this morning in New York, global gold prices surged sharply. Futures closed at $3,897.50/ounce, while spot prices ended the previous session at $3,866.66/ounce – both setting fresh records.

Since the beginning of 2025, international gold prices have climbed nearly 50%, fueled by political instability in the United States and heightened geopolitical tensions worldwide.

The latest trigger came at midnight on October 1 (US time, 11 a.m. Vietnam time), when the US government officially shut down after Congress failed to pass a temporary spending bill. This marks the first shutdown in more than six years, forcing many federal agencies to suspend operations and leaving hundreds of thousands of workers affected.

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Analysts note that the impact this time is particularly significant because the shutdown occurs at a moment when markets urgently need US economic data to anticipate the Federal Reserve’s next policy moves. With information cut off, investors are turning to gold as a safe haven asset.

Michael Field of Morningstar explained that beyond the US shutdown, geopolitical conflicts, tariff uncertainties, and global instability are creating a highly unsettled outlook for investors. Meanwhile, Philippe Gijsels of BNP Paribas Fortis forecast that gold could surpass $4,000/ounce and potentially climb even higher.

Domestic market reaction (Vietnam):

  • SJC gold bars traded at 136.40 – 138.40 million VND/tael, up 1.9 million VND from yesterday.

  • SJC gold rings: 131.80 – 134.50 million VND/tael.

  • PNJ Kim Bao 999.9: 132.00 – 135.00 million VND/tael.

  • Bao Tin Minh Chau rings: 133.00 – 136.00 million VND/tael.

Based on Vietcombank’s USD selling rate (26,466 VND/USD), global gold is equivalent to 125.62 million VND/tael, still 12.78 million VND/tael lower than domestic SJC prices.

👉 With political instability in the US and capital shifting away from risky assets, the upward momentum of gold is expected to continue.

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